ELECTION UPDATE – AT 8:52 A.M. ET:  Well, not much happens, even in an election year, between Saturday night and Sunday morning. 

In Ohio, GOP favorite John Kasich holds on to a narrow lead against incumbent Governor Ted Strickland, for the governor's chair.  Strickland is essentially running as a conservative, although a Democrat. 

A surprise Boston Globe poll puts Dem Governor Deval Patrick only four points ahead of challenger Tim Cahill.  And that's in one of the bluest states in the country.  Patrick is an incompetent governor, but too many in Massachusetts will automatically pull the Democratic lever.  Also, being an African-American, he will bring out the Boston vote.

Strange poll by the L.A. Times has Jerry Brown 13 points ahead of Meg Whitman for governor, and Barbara Boxer eight points ahead of Carly Fiorina for the Senate.  This poll is an outlier.  Others have both races much closer.

Latest Pennsylvania tracker shows Toomey up three over Sestak.

We have a bit more than a week to go.  House looks good, governorships look good, Senate looks shaky.  We await the possibility of some last-minute October surprise, probably sprung, not by the Democrats, but by their friends in the media.  The leak of thousands of war documents was clearly timed to influence our election, but I don't see it having much impact.  Watch for a last-minute hit against GOP candidates.

October 24, 2010